Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 28Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
The Footlab model makes Bucheon FC 1995 the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Incheon United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Incheon United (1,743) and Bucheon FC 1995 (1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Incheon United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bucheon FC 1995 have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gwangju FC(away) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 3-3 | K League 1 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(home) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(home) | 3-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(home) | 3-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gwangju FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gangwon FC(away) | 3-0 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Incheon United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bucheon FC 1995 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Incheon United 1-1 Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995 2-2 Incheon United | K League 1 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Bucheon FC 1995 1-0 Incheon United | K League 2 |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Incheon United 1-0 Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 2 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Bucheon FC 1995 1-3 Incheon United | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995 on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Incheon United score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bucheon FC 1995 score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incheon United | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Incheon United sit 6th in K League 1 (33 points from 23 matches) and Bucheon FC 1995 sit 9th (30 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Incheon United | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 33 |
| 9 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995?
- The Footlab model makes Bucheon FC 1995 the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Incheon United.
- Where and when is Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995 played?
- Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995 is played on September 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Sungui Arena Park, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.