Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 28Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Steelyard Stadium, Pohang
The Footlab model makes Pohang Steelers the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Pohang Steelers (1,738) and Gimcheon Sangmu FC (1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pohang Steelers have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Gimcheon Sangmu FC have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gwangju FC(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 0-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Incheon United(away) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Seoul(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pohang Steelers win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Gimcheon Sangmu FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pohang Steelers 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-1 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-1 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2-0 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-0 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| May 2, 2025 | Pohang Steelers 1-2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pohang Steelers score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gimcheon Sangmu FC score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pohang Steelers | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pohang Steelers sit 7th in K League 1 (31 points from 24 matches) and Gimcheon Sangmu FC sit 11th (26 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pohang Steelers | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 31 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 24 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
- The Footlab model makes Pohang Steelers the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
- Where and when is Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC played?
- Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC is played on September 9, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Steelyard Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.