Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 28Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
The Footlab model makes FC Seoul the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Ulsan Hyundai FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul?
FC Seoul starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,861 vs 1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulsan Hyundai FC have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FC Seoul have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(away) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 2-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Anyang(home) | 3-1 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(home) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 7-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(home) | 4-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ulsan Hyundai FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC Seoul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Seoul 1-3 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 1-4 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | FC Seoul 3-2 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| Jul 20, 2025 | FC Seoul 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 0-0 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | FC Seoul 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ulsan Hyundai FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC Seoul score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulsan Hyundai FC | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Seoul | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulsan Hyundai FC sit 3rd in K League 1 (37 points from 25 matches) and FC Seoul sit 1st (53 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 53 |
| 3 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul?
- The Footlab model makes FC Seoul the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Ulsan Hyundai FC.
- Where and when is Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul played?
- Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul is played on September 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.