Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
The Footlab model makes Jeonbuk Motors the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Incheon United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Jeonbuk Motors starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Incheon United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Jeonbuk Motors have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gwangju FC(away) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 3-3 | K League 1 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(home) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 2-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jeju United FC(home) | 1-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Seoul(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Incheon United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Jeonbuk Motors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Incheon United 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors 1-2 Incheon United | K League 1 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Jeonbuk Motors 0-0 Incheon United | K League 1 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Incheon United 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Jeonbuk Motors 2-2 Incheon United | K League 1 |
| May 1, 2024 | Incheon United 3-0 Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Incheon United score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jeonbuk Motors score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incheon United | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Incheon United sit 6th in K League 1 (33 points from 23 matches) and Jeonbuk Motors sit 3rd (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 22 | 37 |
| 6 | Incheon United | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors?
- The Footlab model makes Jeonbuk Motors the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Incheon United.
- Where and when is Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors played?
- Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Sungui Arena Park, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.