Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
The Footlab model makes Ulsan Hyundai FC the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Ulsan Hyundai FC (1,747) and Gimcheon Sangmu FC (1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulsan Hyundai FC have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Gimcheon Sangmu FC have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 2-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Anyang(home) | 3-1 | K League 1 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Incheon United(away) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Seoul(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ulsan Hyundai FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-2 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3-0 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| May 24, 2025 | Ulsan Hyundai FC 3-2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2-0 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ulsan Hyundai FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gimcheon Sangmu FC score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulsan Hyundai FC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulsan Hyundai FC sit 2nd in K League 1 (37 points from 24 matches) and Gimcheon Sangmu FC sit 11th (26 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 34 | 37 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 24 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
- The Footlab model makes Ulsan Hyundai FC the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
- Where and when is Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC played?
- Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.