Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo
The Footlab model makes Daejeon Citizen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Jeju United FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Jeju United FC (1,747) and Daejeon Citizen (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jeju United FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Daejeon Citizen have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Anyang(home) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 3-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 3-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Seoul(away) | 2-4 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gwangju FC(home) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jeju United FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Daejeon Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Jeju United FC 0-0 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen 0-1 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Daejeon Citizen 3-1 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Jeju United FC 1-3 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Daejeon Citizen 2-1 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen on Jul 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jeju United FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Daejeon Citizen score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeju United FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Daejeon Citizen | 1.6 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jeju United FC sit 5th in K League 1 (35 points from 24 matches) and Daejeon Citizen sit 10th (29 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jeju United FC | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | Daejeon Citizen | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Daejeon Citizen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Jeju United FC.
- Where and when is Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen played?
- Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Jeju World Cup Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.