Independiente de La Chorrera vs Real Estelí: result 2-1 and analysis
CONCACAF Central American CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on August 22, 2023 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rommel Fernández, Panama City
Full time
What was the result of Independiente de La Chorrera vs Real Estelí?
Independiente de La Chorrera won 2-1 on August 22, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 55′C. SmallIndependiente de La Chorrera
- 74′J. MurilloIndependiente de La Chorrera (pen.)
- 76′EwertonReal Estelí
Official lineup for Independiente de La Chorrera vs Real Estelí
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Independiente de La Chorrera
- 7J. Serrano
- 19M. Ávila
- 23H. Hurtado
- 30C. Small
- 77V. Ávila
- 8S. Cunningham
- 10R. Águila
- 14G. Hernández
- 21J. Murillo
- 22S. Ramírez
- 12E. Roberts
Real Estelí
- 13A. Bonilla
- 7B. Bonilla
- 8M. López
- 10H. Medina
- 11J. Barrera
- 14F. Monserrat
- 4M. Fletes
- 18L. Balanta
- 19E. Martínez
- 27J. Quijano
- 1D. Forvis
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente de La Chorrera have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Real Estelí have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2023 | UMECIT(home) | 1-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 17, 2023 | Xelajú(away) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Deportivo Universitario(away) | 0-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Atlético Chiriquí(home) | 4-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 3, 2023 | CD Olimpia(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2023 | H&H Export(home) | 5-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 16, 2023 | FAS(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Deportivo Ocotal(away) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 9, 2023 | CD Olimpia(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Jalapa(home) | 4-0 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente de La Chorrera score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Estelí score 2.1 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente de La Chorrera | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Estelí | 2.1 | 0.4 | 12 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy