Independiente del Valle vs El Nacional: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 23Kick-off on August 3, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Full time
What was the result of Independiente del Valle vs El Nacional?
Independiente del Valle won 1-0 on August 3, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 50′P. MercadoIndependiente del Valle
Official lineup for Independiente del Valle vs El Nacional
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Independiente del Valle
4-1-4-1- 77C. Spinelli
- 17A. Rodríguez
- 7P. Mercado
- 26J. Cazares
- 16R. Briones
- 6J. Alcívar
- 15G. Cortéz
- 5R. Schunke
- 14M. Carabajal
- 13M. Fernández
- 22G. Villar
El Nacional
5-4-1- 99D. Reasco
- 10J. Borja
- 13E. Caicedo
- 17C. Velez
- 55J. D. Mejia Moreira
- 15A. Cela
- 5J. Flor
- 32A. Bedoya
- 4R. Cabezas
- 77B. Hernández
- 12D. Cabezas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente del Valle have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; El Nacional have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Aucas(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 4-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Macara(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Libertad(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Orense SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Aucas(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 11, 2025 | 22 de Julio(away) | 3-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Manta FC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Independiente del Valle wins, 0 draws, 3 El Nacional wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2025 | El Nacional 1-3 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Independiente del Valle 0-1 El Nacional | Copa Ecuador |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Independiente del Valle 2-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| May 12, 2024 | El Nacional 1-2 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Dec 2, 2023 | El Nacional 2-1 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Independiente del Valle 3-4 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle on Apr 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente del Valle score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; El Nacional score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| El Nacional | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 77 | 35 | 81 |
A question about Independiente del Valle vs El Nacional?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy