Libertad vs Emelec: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 23Kick-off on August 3, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja
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What was the result of Libertad vs Emelec?
Emelec won 1-2 on August 3, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 8′F. CastelliEmelec
- 76′J. TimmerLibertad (pen.)
- 90′F. LeónEmelec (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Libertad have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Emelec have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | El Nacional(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Manta FC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 16, 2025 | La Cantera de Pastaza(away) | 0-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Orense SC(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | Miguel Iturralde(away) | 1-1 | Copa Ecuador |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Manta FC(away) | 4-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 12, 2025 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Cuniburo(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Libertad win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Emelec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Emelec 1-1 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Libertad 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Emelec 0-0 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Libertad 0-0 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Emelec 2-0 Libertad | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Libertad score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Emelec score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Emelec | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Libertad sit 8th in Liga Pro (34 points from 25 matches) and Emelec sit 13th (29 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Libertad | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 34 |
| 13 | Emelec | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy