Aucas vs Libertad: result 2-0 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 11Kick-off on May 6, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
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What was the result of Aucas vs Libertad?
Aucas won 2-0 on May 6, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 1′A. MinaAucas
- 60′J. MinaAucas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Libertad have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 18, 2025 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Delfin SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2025 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Emelec(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 5, 2025 | El Nacional(home) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Manta FC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Aucas win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Libertad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | Libertad 1-1 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Aucas 0-1 Libertad | Copa Ecuador |
| May 5, 2024 | Aucas 2-0 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Aucas 1-2 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Libertad 2-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Libertad score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Libertad | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aucas sit 2nd in Liga Pro (44 points from 26 matches) and Libertad sit 8th (34 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
| 8 | Libertad | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy