Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera AApertura - 18Kick-off on May 14, 2016 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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What was the result of Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas?
Independiente Medellin won 2-1 on May 14, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 14′L. TiptonIndependiente Medellin
- 45′Ó. EstupiñánOnce Caldas
- 83′E. ValenciaIndependiente Medellin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Once Caldas have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2016 | Atletico Nacional(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| May 2, 2016 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 3-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 29, 2016 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Jaguares(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2016 | Huila(home) | 3-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Internacional de Bogota(away) | 2-3 | Primera A |
| Apr 27, 2016 | Cortulua(home) | 1-3 | Primera A |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Envigado(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 17, 2016 | Junior(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Medellin score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Once Caldas score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 1.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Once Caldas | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Medellin sit 11th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Once Caldas sit 5th (33 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 25 | 34 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- May 13, 2016Alianza Valledupar2-1Águilas Doradas
- May 14, 2016Deportivo Pasto1-1Deportes Tolima
- May 14, 2016Huila3-1Chico
- May 14, 2016Santa Fe4-0Fortaleza FC
- May 15, 2016Envigado1-1Junior
- May 15, 2016Patriotas2-2Atletico Nacional
- May 15, 2016Internacional de Bogota0-3Millonarios
- May 15, 2016Deportivo Cali3-2Jaguares