Independiente vs Concepción: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 9, 2020 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fiscal de Talca, Talca
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What was the result of Independiente vs Concepción?
Independiente won 1-0 on October 9, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 34′J. SilvaIndependiente
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Independiente have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Concepción have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2020 | Recoleta(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 29, 2020 | Iberia(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2020 | Colchagua(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 17, 2020 | Colina(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 2-2 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2020 | Fernández Vial(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 30, 2020 | Colina(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 16, 2020 | Colchagua(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Santiago Wanderers(home) | 1-4 | Copa Chile |
| Apr 30, 2017 | Gutiérrez(home) | 1-1 | Torneo Federal A |
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 5; Concepción score 1.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| Concepción | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy