Institute vs Strabane Athletic: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Londonderry
The Footlab AI model makes Institute the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Strabane Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Institute wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Institute vs Strabane Athletic?
Institute starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,440 vs 1,292).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Institute vs Strabane Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Institute
Not enough data to predict the Institute lineup.
Strabane Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Strabane Athletic lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Institute have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Strabane Athletic have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 7-0 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 0-5 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 5-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ards(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Institute win, 0 draws, 0 Strabane Athletic wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Strabane Athletic 0-1 Institute | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Strabane Athletic vs Institute on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Institute score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Strabane Athletic score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Institute | 1.9 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Strabane Athletic | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Institute sit 7th in Championship (59 points from 38 matches) and Strabane Athletic sit 14th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | InstituteChampionship 1: Relegation Group | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 59 | 46 | 59 |
| 14 | Strabane AthleticChampionship 1 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
A question about Institute vs Strabane Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Institute vs Strabane Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Institute the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Strabane Athletic.
- Where and when is Institute vs Strabane Athletic played?
- Institute vs Strabane Athletic is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.