Armagh City vs Loughgall: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Holm Park, Armagh
The Footlab AI model makes Loughgall the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Armagh City. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Armagh City vs Loughgall?
Loughgall starts as the favourite with a 289-point Elo edge (1,422 vs 1,133).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Armagh City vs Loughgall
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Armagh City
Not enough data to predict the Armagh City lineup.
Loughgall
4-3-3- 9D. Stewart
- 32K. McLaughlin
- 33S. McCann
- 5D. Wilson
- 6R. Norton
- 35C. Kerr
- 27J. Scott
- 4B. Murdock
- 25J. Carroll
- 3O. Crowe
- 1Ross Glendinning
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 05:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Armagh City have 0 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats; Loughgall have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Institute(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Moyola Park(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Armagh City win, 3 draws, 1 Loughgall win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Loughgall 0-0 Armagh City | Championship |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Loughgall 1-1 Armagh City | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Loughgall 2-1 Armagh City | Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Armagh City 0-0 Loughgall | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Loughgall 2-3 Armagh City | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Loughgall vs Armagh City on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Armagh City score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Loughgall score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armagh City | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Loughgall | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Armagh City sit 12th in Championship (17 points from 33 matches) and Loughgall sit 5th (51 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Loughgall | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 51 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 100 | 17 |
A question about Armagh City vs Loughgall?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Armagh City vs Loughgall?
- The Footlab AI model makes Loughgall the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Armagh City.
- Where and when is Armagh City vs Loughgall played?
- Armagh City vs Loughgall is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Holm Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.