Warrenpoint Town vs Newry City AFC: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Milltown Playing Fields, Warrenpoint
The Footlab model makes Warrenpoint Town the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Newry City AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warrenpoint Town vs Newry City AFC?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Warrenpoint Town (1,245) and Newry City AFC (1,244).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warrenpoint Town have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Newry City AFC have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Warrenpoint Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Newry City AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Newry City AFC 0-3 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Newry City AFC 1-0 Warrenpoint Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2022 | Newry City AFC 0-2 Warrenpoint Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Warrenpoint Town 1-2 Newry City AFC | Irish Cup |
| Sep 14, 2021 | Newry City AFC 1-2 Warrenpoint Town | League Cup |
| Jul 20, 2021 | Newry City AFC 1-0 Warrenpoint Town | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warrenpoint Town score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Newry City AFC score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrenpoint Town | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Newry City AFC | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warrenpoint Town sit 8th in Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Newry City AFC sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warrenpoint Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 50 | 36 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 53 | 41 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warrenpoint Town vs Newry City AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Warrenpoint Town the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Newry City AFC.
- Where and when is Warrenpoint Town vs Newry City AFC played?
- Warrenpoint Town vs Newry City AFC is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Milltown Playing Fields, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.