Warrenpoint Town vs Newry City AFC: prediction and stats
ChampionshipMatchday 22Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Milltown Playing Fields, Warrenpoint
The Footlab AI model makes Warrenpoint Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Newry City AFC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Warrenpoint Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,522 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warrenpoint Town vs Newry City AFC?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Warrenpoint Town (1,344) and Newry City AFC (1,334).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Warrenpoint Town vs Newry City AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Warrenpoint Town
Not enough data to predict the Warrenpoint Town lineup.
Newry City AFC
4-3-3- 19K. Dalton
- RR. McNickle
- 14A. Salley
- 17C. McNally
- 12E. McEnteggart
- 7J. Chambers
- 20Scott McCullough
- 3J. King
- 4M. Rendina
- 4R. McGivern
- 1Jason Craughwell
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 04:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warrenpoint Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Newry City AFC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 5-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ards(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Queen's University(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Warrenpoint Town wins, 0 draws, 3 Newry City AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Newry City AFC 0-3 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Newry City AFC 1-0 Warrenpoint Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2022 | Newry City AFC 0-2 Warrenpoint Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Warrenpoint Town 1-2 Newry City AFC | Irish Cup |
| Sep 14, 2021 | Newry City AFC 1-2 Warrenpoint Town | League Cup |
| Jul 20, 2021 | Newry City AFC 1-0 Warrenpoint Town | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warrenpoint Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Newry City AFC score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrenpoint Town | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Newry City AFC | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warrenpoint Town sit 9th in Championship (41 points from 38 matches) and Newry City AFC sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Newry City AFCChampionship 1 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 18 | 15 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint TownChampionship 1: Relegation Group | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 53 | 41 |
A question about Warrenpoint Town vs Newry City AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warrenpoint Town vs Newry City AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Warrenpoint Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Newry City AFC.
- Where and when is Warrenpoint Town vs Newry City AFC played?
- Warrenpoint Town vs Newry City AFC is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Milltown Playing Fields, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.