Match

Inter Miami II vs New York City II: prediction and stats

MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida

Inter Miami IINew York City II

The Footlab model makes New York City II the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Inter Miami II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Inter Miami II vs New York City II?

New York City II starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,665 vs 1,547).

Inter Miami II win30 %
Draw25 %
New York City II win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Miami II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; New York City II have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Inter Miami II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Chicago Fire II(away)1-3MLS Next Pro
Aug 19, 2026New England II(home)4-2MLS Next Pro
Aug 16, 2026Huntsville City(away)0-2MLS Next Pro
Aug 7, 2026Crown Legacy(home)0-2MLS Next Pro
Jul 31, 2026Chattanooga(home)0-1MLS Next Pro
New York City II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026New England II(home)2-1MLS Next Pro
Aug 19, 2026FC Cincinnati II(home)5-0MLS Next Pro
Aug 15, 2026Columbus Crew II(away)2-4MLS Next Pro
Aug 11, 2026Orlando City II(home)3-0MLS Next Pro
Aug 1, 2026Philadelphia Union II(home)1-1MLS Next Pro

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Inter Miami II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 New York City II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 4, 2025Inter Miami II 4-2 New York City IIMLS Next Pro
Jun 8, 2024New York City II 3-0 Inter Miami IIMLS Next Pro
Mar 17, 2024Inter Miami II 3-2 New York City IIMLS Next Pro
Sep 24, 2023Inter Miami II 2-3 New York City IIMLS Next Pro
Aug 11, 2023New York City II 5-0 Inter Miami IIMLS Next Pro
Jul 24, 2022New York City II 2-2 Inter Miami IIMLS Next Pro

Last archived meeting: Inter Miami II vs New York City II on May 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Inter Miami II score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; New York City II score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Inter Miami II0.91.536/156/15
New York City II2.31.459/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Inter Miami II sit 8th in MLS Next Pro (11 points from 23 matches) and New York City II sit 8th (39 points from 23 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5New York City II2313010423539
8Inter Miami II233020215611
8New York City II2313010423539
10New York City II2111010353433
16Inter Miami II233020215611
16Inter Miami II21201916518

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Inter Miami II vs New York City II?
The Footlab model makes New York City II the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Inter Miami II.
Where and when is Inter Miami II vs New York City II played?
Inter Miami II vs New York City II is played on September 1, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Chase Stadium, in the MLS Next Pro.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Inter Miami II and New York City II

Ready to know everything about football?