Intercity vs Atlético Baleares: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Antonio Solana, Alicante
The Footlab model makes Atlético Baleares the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Intercity. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Intercity vs Atlético Baleares?
Atlético Baleares starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (2,022 vs 1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Intercity have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Atlético Baleares have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Intercity win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Atlético Baleares win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Atlético Baleares 1-2 Intercity | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Intercity 0-0 Atlético Baleares | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Intercity 2-2 Atlético Baleares | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Atlético Baleares 0-0 Intercity | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Baleares vs Intercity on Apr 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Intercity score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Baleares score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercity | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlético Baleares | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlético Baleares | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 34 | 66 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Intercity vs Atlético Baleares?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Baleares the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Intercity.
- Where and when is Intercity vs Atlético Baleares played?
- Intercity vs Atlético Baleares is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Antonio Solana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.