Intercity vs Castellonense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Antonio Solana, Alicante
The Footlab AI model makes Intercity the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Castellonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Intercity wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Intercity vs Castellonense?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Intercity (1,764) and Castellonense (1,827).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Intercity vs Castellonense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Intercity
Not enough data to predict the Intercity lineup.
Castellonense
Not enough data to predict the Castellonense lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Intercity have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Castellonense have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Yeclano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Intercity score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Castellonense score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercity | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Castellonense | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Intercity sit 9th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (9 points from 6 matches) and Castellonense sit 4th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Castellonense | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 9 | Intercity | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
A question about Intercity vs Castellonense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Intercity vs Castellonense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Intercity the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Castellonense.
- Where and when is Intercity vs Castellonense played?
- Intercity vs Castellonense is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Antonio Solana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.