Orihuela vs Valencia II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, Orihuela
The Footlab model makes Orihuela the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Valencia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orihuela vs Valencia II?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Orihuela (1,846) and Valencia II (1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orihuela have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Valencia II have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Olot(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Espanyol II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 3-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Orihuela win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Valencia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2022 | Valencia II 5-2 Orihuela | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Orihuela 1-3 Valencia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Valencia II 2-2 Orihuela | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Orihuela 2-1 Valencia II | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Valencia II 4-1 Orihuela | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Valencia II vs Orihuela on Jan 9, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Valencia II score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orihuela | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Valencia II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Valencia II | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 35 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orihuela vs Valencia II?
- The Footlab model makes Orihuela the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Valencia II.
- Where and when is Orihuela vs Valencia II played?
- Orihuela vs Valencia II is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.