Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
The Footlab AI model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Raith Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Inverness CT wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Inverness CT (1,771) and Raith Rovers (1,785).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inverness CT
4-2-3-1- 9L. Stewart
- 7P. Allan
- 8A. Mackinnon
- 11L. Longstaff
- 16R. Duncan
- 35A. Stewart
- 4G. Shinnie
- 5Remmi Eugene Savage
- 2C. Macleod
- 15K. Smith
- 1R. Munro
Raith Rovers
4-2-3-1- 9G. Oakley
- 15S. Tiffoney
- 25K. Montagu
- 7A. Lyall
- 20S. Brown
- 11J. Robertson
- 2J. Rowe
- 3Z. Delaney
- 6J. Baird
- 5C. Fordyce
- 1J. Rae
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inverness CT have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Raith Rovers have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Morton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Inverness CT win, 0 draws, 5 Raith Rovers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inverness CT 0-2 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Raith Rovers 4-1 Inverness CT | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Raith Rovers 5-1 Inverness CT | League Cup |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Raith Rovers 1-0 Inverness CT | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Inverness CT 0-1 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Raith Rovers 2-3 Inverness CT | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inverness CT score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Raith Rovers score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Raith Rovers | 1.3 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inverness CT sit 6th in Championship (13 points from 10 matches) and Raith Rovers sit 2nd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
A question about Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Raith Rovers.
- Where and when is Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers played?
- Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.