Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Ayr Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Raith Rovers wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Raith Rovers (1,777) and Ayr Utd (1,701).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Raith Rovers
4-2-3-1- 9G. Oakley
- 15S. Tiffoney
- 25K. Montagu
- 7A. Lyall
- 20S. Brown
- 11J. Robertson
- 2J. Rowe
- 3Z. Delaney
- 6J. Baird
- 5C. Fordyce
- 1J. Rae
Ayr Utd
3-4-3- 12Olly Whyte
- 7O. Stirton
- 11R. Taylor
- 6R. Lyon
- 33S. McMann
- 32D. Watret
- 20L. McBeth
- 5K. Holt
- 3L. Dick
- 8L. King
- 1H. Stone
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raith Rovers have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ayr Utd have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Raith Rovers wins, 0 draws, 2 Ayr Utd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Raith Rovers 2-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Raith Rovers 3-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ayr Utd 2-1 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Raith Rovers 0-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Ayr Utd 0-1 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Raith Rovers 1-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Raith Rovers score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raith Rovers | 1.3 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Raith Rovers sit 2nd in Championship (20 points from 10 matches) and Ayr Utd sit 7th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Ayr Utd.
- Where and when is Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd played?
- Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stark's Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.