Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
The Footlab AI model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Stenhousemuir. The most likely score is 1-1. If Inverness CT wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,489 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Inverness CT (1,750) and Stenhousemuir (1,732).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inverness CT
4-2-3-1- 9L. Stewart
- 7P. Allan
- 8A. Mackinnon
- 35A. Stewart
- 17L. Sole
- 11L. Longstaff
- 4G. Shinnie
- 5Remmi Eugene Savage
- 2C. Macleod
- 6D. Devine
- 1R. Munro
Stenhousemuir
3-4-3- 20G. Stevenson
- 11L. O'Donnell
- 36L. Lloyd
- 2R. Meechan
- 17M. Anderson
- 10A. Shinnie
- 8F. Robson
- 5S. Young
- 19S. Bright
- 24L. Grant
- 1D. Jamieson
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 07:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inverness CT have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Stenhousemuir have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Morton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Inverness CT wins, 2 draws, 2 Stenhousemuir wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inverness CT 2-0 Stenhousemuir | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Stenhousemuir 3-1 Inverness CT | Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Stenhousemuir 1-1 Inverness CT | League One |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Inverness CT 1-1 Stenhousemuir | League One |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Inverness CT 1-0 Stenhousemuir | Challenge Cup |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Stenhousemuir 1-0 Inverness CT | League One |
Last archived meeting: Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inverness CT score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stenhousemuir score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | 1.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Stenhousemuir | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inverness CT sit 4th in Championship (19 points from 12 matches) and Stenhousemuir sit 2nd (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 19 |
A question about Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Stenhousemuir.
- Where and when is Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir played?
- Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.