Iraklis Larissa vs Digenis Neochori: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Larissa
The Footlab model makes Iraklis Larissa the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Digenis Neochori. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iraklis Larissa vs Digenis Neochori?
Iraklis Larissa starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,480 vs 1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iraklis Larissa have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Digenis Neochori have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2023 | Veria(away) | 0-3 | Super League 2 |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 0-0 | Super League 2 |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Panathinaikos II(away) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| May 28, 2023 | Panserraikos(home) | 2-0 | Super League 2 |
| May 19, 2023 | Iraklis 1908(away) | 1-4 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Trikala(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2023 | Asteras Petriti(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Chalkis(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Zakynthos(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Panelefsiniakos(away) | 0-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Iraklis Larissa win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Digenis Neochori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | Iraklis Larissa 4-0 Digenis Neochori | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Digenis Neochori 0-1 Iraklis Larissa | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Iraklis Larissa vs Digenis Neochori on Feb 9, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Iraklis Larissa score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Digenis Neochori score 0.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis Larissa | 0.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Digenis Neochori | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iraklis Larissa vs Digenis Neochori?
- The Footlab model makes Iraklis Larissa the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Digenis Neochori.
- Where and when is Iraklis Larissa vs Digenis Neochori played?
- Iraklis Larissa vs Digenis Neochori is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.