Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 22Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Larissa
The Footlab model makes Karitsa the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Iraklis Larissa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa?
Karitsa starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,634 vs 1,480).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iraklis Larissa have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Karitsa have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2023 | Veria(away) | 0-3 | Super League 2 |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 0-0 | Super League 2 |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Panathinaikos II(away) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| May 28, 2023 | Panserraikos(home) | 2-0 | Super League 2 |
| May 19, 2023 | Iraklis 1908(away) | 1-4 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2021 | Aetos Makrychoriou(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 30, 2021 | Anagennisi Karditsas(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 26, 2021 | Elassona(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 23, 2021 | Fikis(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2021 | Iraklis Larissa(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Iraklis Larissa win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Karitsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2021 | Iraklis Larissa 1-2 Karitsa | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Dec 8, 2019 | Iraklis Larissa 2-0 Karitsa | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa on May 16, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Iraklis Larissa score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Karitsa score 2.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis Larissa | 0.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Karitsa | 2.0 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa?
- The Footlab model makes Karitsa the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Iraklis Larissa.
- Where and when is Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa played?
- Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.