Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 22Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Larissa
The Footlab AI model makes Karitsa the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Iraklis Larissa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karitsa wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa?
Karitsa starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,522).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Iraklis Larissa
4-3-3- 90F. Keri
- 95D. Casas
- 9O. Syrengelas
- 3K. Kamperis
- 31S. Gougoudis
- 25L. Bossio
- 4A. Galitsios
- 80D. Tasioulis
- 46G. Lagonidis
- 13M. Giannitsis
- 1S. Farmakis
Karitsa
Not enough data to predict the Karitsa lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iraklis Larissa have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Karitsa have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trikala(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pierikos(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Veria(away) | 0-3 | Super League 2 |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 0-0 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Digenis Neochori(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sarakinos(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Aetos Makrychoriou(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 30, 2021 | Anagennisi Karditsas(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 26, 2021 | Elassona(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Iraklis Larissa win, 0 draws, 1 Karitsa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2021 | Iraklis Larissa 1-2 Karitsa | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Dec 8, 2019 | Iraklis Larissa 2-0 Karitsa | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa on May 16, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Iraklis Larissa score 0.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Karitsa score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis Larissa | 0.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Karitsa | 1.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iraklis Larissa sit 10th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (0 points from 2 matches) and Karitsa sit 6th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Karitsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Iraklis Larissa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karitsa the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Iraklis Larissa.
- Where and when is Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa played?
- Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.