Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Gat Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Gat
The Footlab model makes Kiryat Yam SC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Maccabi Kiryat Gat. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Maccabi Kiryat Gat (1,795) and Kiryat Yam SC (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Kiryat Gat have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Kiryat Yam SC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(home) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Bnei Raina(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 6-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kiryat Yam SC score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 2.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Kiryat Yam SC | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat sit 9th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Kiryat Yam SC sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kiryat Yam SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC?
- The Footlab model makes Kiryat Yam SC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Maccabi Kiryat Gat.
- Where and when is Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC played?
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC is played on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Gat Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.