Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Herzliya the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Maccabi Herzliya (1,795) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Herzliya have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 2-3 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(away) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away) | 2-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Maccabi Herzliya win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2018 | Maccabi Herzliya 2-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 28, 2017 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2-0 Maccabi Herzliya | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 17, 2017 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0-2 Maccabi Herzliya | Liga Leumit |
| Nov 4, 2016 | Maccabi Herzliya 0-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth on Jan 9, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Herzliya score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Herzliya | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Herzliya sit 7th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Maccabi Herzliya | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Herzliya the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
- Where and when is Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth played?
- Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth is played on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.