Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Modi'in Municipal Stadium, Modi'in Makabim-Re'ut
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ironi Modi'in. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Ironi Modi'in (1,707) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Modi'in have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba(away) | 4-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(home) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Nazareth Illit(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ironi Modi'in win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | Ironi Modi'in 1-3 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth on Oct 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Modi'in score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Modi'in | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Modi'in sit 8th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ironi Modi'in | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ironi Modi'in.
- Where and when is Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth played?
- Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth is played on February 5, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Modi'in Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.