Match

Maccabi Herzliya vs Ashdod: prediction and stats

Liga LeumitRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya

Maccabi HerzliyaAshdod

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Herzliya the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maccabi Herzliya vs Ashdod?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Maccabi Herzliya (1,795) and Ashdod (1,712).

Maccabi Herzliya win45 %
Draw26 %
Ashdod win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Herzliya have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ashdod have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maccabi Herzliya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Hapoel Ra'anana(home)2-3Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Ironi Modi'in(away)2-0Liga Leumit
May 25, 2026Bnei Yehuda(away)1-1Liga Leumit
May 20, 2026Hapoel Kfar Saba(home)1-1Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away)2-1Liga Leumit
Ashdod
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(home)1-0Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Hapoel Afula(away)0-2Liga Leumit
May 18, 2026Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away)3-2Ligat Ha'al
May 13, 2026Hapoel Katamon(home)0-1Ligat Ha'al
May 10, 2026Hapoel Haifa(away)0-1Ligat Ha'al

How many goals should we expect?

Maccabi Herzliya score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ashdod score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maccabi Herzliya1.51.3310/158/15
Ashdod1.01.638/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maccabi Herzliya sit 7th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Ashdod sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Maccabi Herzliya2101433
11Ashdod2101123

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maccabi Herzliya vs Ashdod?
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Herzliya the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Ashdod.
Where and when is Maccabi Herzliya vs Ashdod played?
Maccabi Herzliya vs Ashdod is played on February 5, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Leumit.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Maccabi Herzliya and Ashdod

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