Maccabi Herzliya vs Ashdod: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Herzliya the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Herzliya vs Ashdod?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Maccabi Herzliya (1,795) and Ashdod (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Herzliya have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ashdod have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 2-3 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(away) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away) | 2-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 18, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 3-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 13, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 10, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Herzliya score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ashdod score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Herzliya | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ashdod | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Herzliya sit 7th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Ashdod sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Maccabi Herzliya | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Ashdod | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Herzliya vs Ashdod?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Herzliya the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Ashdod.
- Where and when is Maccabi Herzliya vs Ashdod played?
- Maccabi Herzliya vs Ashdod is played on February 5, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 5, 2027Hapoel AcrevsMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Feb 5, 2027Hapoel Rishon LeZionvsHapoel Afula
- Feb 5, 2027Kafr QasimvsHapoel Ra'anana
- Feb 5, 2027Hapoel Kfar SabavsKiryat Yam SC
- Feb 5, 2027Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsMaccabi Bnei Raina
- Feb 5, 2027Ironi Modi'invsMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
- Feb 5, 2027Maccabi Kiryat GatvsBnei Yehuda