Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, Hadera
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (1,694) and Ironi Nesher (1,612).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ironi Nesher have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tira(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ironi Nesher win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 4-0 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th in Liga Alef (33 points from 22 matches) and Ironi Nesher sit 11th (29 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 33 |
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Ironi Nesher.
- Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher played?
- Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Beitar NahariyavsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Sep 23, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Sep 23, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Sep 23, 2026TiravsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Sep 23, 2026Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Beit Shean
- Sep 23, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Sep 23, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm