Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm played?

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is played on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, Hadera

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (1,694) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1,605).

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win47 %

Draw26 %

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home)	1-2	Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026	Tira(away)	0-0	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)	0-1	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home)	2-3	Liga Alef

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 26, 2026	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)	0-0	Liga Alef
Feb 21, 2026	Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home)	0-2	Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026	Hapoel Beit Shean(home)	2-3	Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)	1-0	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(away)	4-2	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 5, 2026	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1-0 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	Liga Alef
Sep 26, 2025	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1-0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	Liga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel on Feb 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	1.3	1.1	6	7/15	7/15
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1.4	1.7	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th in Liga Alef (33 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm sit 16th (11 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	22	9	6	7	30	23	33
16	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	22	6	5	11	30	37	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm played?: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is played on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.