Match

Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nesher Municipal Stadium, Nesher

Ironi NesherHapoel Tirat HaCarmel

The Footlab model makes Ironi Nesher the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Ironi Nesher (1,612) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel (1,521).

Ironi Nesher win44 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Nesher have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ironi Nesher
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away)0-3Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home)3-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Tira(away)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home)1-1Liga Alef
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(home)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(home)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Ironi Nesher(away)1-1Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)1-2Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ironi Nesher win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 30, 2026Ironi Nesher 1-1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelLiga Alef
Sep 18, 2025Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-1 Ironi NesherLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel on Jan 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ironi Nesher1.21.839/1510/15
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel0.61.917/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ironi Nesher sit 11th in Liga Alef (29 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th (12 points from 21 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Ironi Nesher22859283729
15Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel213315164212

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
The Footlab model makes Ironi Nesher the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
Where and when is Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel played?
Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nesher Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ironi Nesher and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

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