Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nesher Municipal Stadium, Nesher
The Footlab model makes Ironi Nesher the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Ironi Nesher (1,612) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel (1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Nesher have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ironi Nesher win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher 1-1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | Liga Alef |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-1 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Nesher sit 11th in Liga Alef (29 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th (12 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Nesher the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel played?
- Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nesher Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsTzeirey Tamra
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Apr 3, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Apr 3, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Apr 3, 2027TiravsBeitar Nahariya
- Apr 3, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsIroni Baka El Garbiya