Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kaukab Stadium, Kaukab Abu al-Hija
The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,701 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Arraba have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 5-4 Hapoel Ironi Arraba | Liga Alef |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0-0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba on Jan 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Ironi Arraba score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Ironi Arraba sit 13th in Liga Alef (21 points from 22 matches) and Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
| 13 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba.
- Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya played?
- Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kaukab Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Ironi NeshervsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsTzeirey Tamra
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Apr 3, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Apr 3, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Apr 3, 2027TiravsBeitar Nahariya
- Apr 3, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel