Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Umm al-synthetic field, Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Hapoel Nazareth Illit

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1,697) and Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,659).

Hapoel Bnei Musmus win41 %

Draw26 %

Hapoel Nazareth Illit win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)	2-0	Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)	2-1	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Beit Shean(home)	0-1	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)	3-2	Liga Alef
Jan 24, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(home)	2-1	Liga Alef

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 25, 2026	Hapoel Acre(home)	2-2	Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026	Ironi Modi'in(home)	0-2	Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026	Hapoel Afula(away)	1-2	Liga Leumit
May 11, 2026	Kafr Qasim(away)	1-1	Liga Leumit
May 4, 2026	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)	0-2	Liga Leumit

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	9/15
Hapoel Nazareth Illit	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	21	9	6	6	28	28	33

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?: Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.