Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kaukab Stadium, Kaukab Abu al-Hija
The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,657 vs 1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1-2 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 2-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 3-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0-6 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 2-0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Dec 22, 2023 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 3-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed sit 14th in Liga Alef (17 points from 21 matches) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.
- Where and when is Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm played?
- Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kaukab Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Ironi NeshervsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsTzeirey Tamra
- Apr 3, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
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- Apr 3, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
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