Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Katamon: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat-Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat-Shmona
The Footlab model makes Ironi Kiryat Shmona the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Katamon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Katamon?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Ironi Kiryat Shmona (1,852) and Hapoel Katamon (1,835).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Kiryat Shmona have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Katamon have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(away) | 1-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 2-5 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 2-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ironi Kiryat Shmona win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Katamon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona 3-1 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon 0-1 Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1-2 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Hapoel Katamon 2-0 Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Hapoel Katamon 0-0 Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona 2-0 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Katamon on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Kiryat Shmona score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Katamon score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Katamon | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Kiryat Shmona sit 10th in Ligat Ha'al (0 points from 1 matches) and Hapoel Katamon sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Katamon?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Kiryat Shmona the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Katamon.
- Where and when is Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Katamon played?
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Katamon is played on December 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat-Shmona Municipal Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.