Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Petah Tikva: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Tiberias Municipal Stadium, Tiberias
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Petah Tikva the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Ironi Tiberias. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Ironi Tiberias (1,810) and Maccabi Petah Tikva (1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Tiberias have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Maccabi Petah Tikva have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 2-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 2-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 3-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ironi Tiberias win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Maccabi Petah Tikva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias 0-3 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| May 10, 2025 | Ironi Tiberias 0-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Ironi Tiberias 1-2 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-0 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Ironi Tiberias 0-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Liga Leumit |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Ironi Tiberias 2-2 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Petah Tikva on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Tiberias score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Petah Tikva score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Tiberias | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Tiberias sit 14th in Ligat Ha'al (0 points from 1 matches) and Maccabi Petah Tikva sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Petah Tikva the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Ironi Tiberias.
- Where and when is Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Petah Tikva played?
- Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Petah Tikva is played on December 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Tiberias Municipal Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.