Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 21Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Baltika II the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Iskra Smolensk. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II?
Baltika II starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,535).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iskra Smolensk have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Baltika II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yenisey II(away) | 0-4 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(home) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 0-5 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Murom(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(home) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Yenisey II(away) | 6-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Iskra Smolensk win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Baltika II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Baltika II 4-1 Iskra Smolensk | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Baltika II vs Iskra Smolensk on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Iskra Smolensk score 0.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Baltika II score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iskra Smolensk | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Baltika II | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iskra Smolensk sit 13th in Second League - Group 2 (10 points from 12 matches) and Baltika II sit 5th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Baltika II | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 38 |
| 5 | Baltika II | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 22 |
| 13 | Iskra Smolensk | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 10 |
| 15 | Iskra Smolensk | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II?
- The Footlab model makes Baltika II the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Iskra Smolensk.
- Where and when is Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II played?
- Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.