Luki-Energiya vs Irkutsk: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 21Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ekspress, Velikiye Luki
The Footlab model makes Luki-Energiya the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Irkutsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luki-Energiya vs Irkutsk?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Luki-Energiya (1,690) and Irkutsk (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luki-Energiya have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Irkutsk have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Vologda(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Baltika II(home) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Yenisey II(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(home) | 0-4 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Cherepovets(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Luki-Energiya win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Irkutsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Irkutsk 0-1 Luki-Energiya | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Irkutsk 1-0 Luki-Energiya | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Luki-Energiya 1-1 Irkutsk | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Irkutsk 1-0 Luki-Energiya | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Luki-Energiya 0-0 Irkutsk | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Luki-Energiya 1-1 Irkutsk | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Irkutsk vs Luki-Energiya on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luki-Energiya score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Irkutsk score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luki-Energiya | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Irkutsk | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luki-Energiya sit 2nd in Second League - Group 2 (23 points from 11 matches) and Irkutsk sit 14th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Luki-Energiya | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Luki-Energiya | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 36 |
| 14 | Irkutsk | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 10 |
| 14 | Irkutsk | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luki-Energiya vs Irkutsk?
- The Footlab model makes Luki-Energiya the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Irkutsk.
- Where and when is Luki-Energiya vs Irkutsk played?
- Luki-Energiya vs Irkutsk is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ekspress, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.