Cherepovets vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 21Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Cherepovets
The Footlab model makes Cherepovets the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Kosmos Dolgoprudny. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cherepovets vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Cherepovets (1,625) and Kosmos Dolgoprudny (1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cherepovets have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kosmos Dolgoprudny have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Tosno(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tver(away) | 0-5 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tver(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Murom(away) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC 10(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Cherepovets win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kosmos Dolgoprudny win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny 1-3 Cherepovets | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Cherepovets 2-0 Kosmos Dolgoprudny | Second League - Group 2 |
| May 12, 2025 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny 1-1 Cherepovets | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kosmos Dolgoprudny vs Cherepovets on May 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cherepovets score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kosmos Dolgoprudny score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherepovets | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cherepovets sit 6th in Second League - Group 2 (19 points from 11 matches) and Kosmos Dolgoprudny sit 15th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cherepovets | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 19 |
| 7 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
| 8 | Cherepovets | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 24 |
| 15 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cherepovets vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny?
- The Footlab model makes Cherepovets the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Kosmos Dolgoprudny.
- Where and when is Cherepovets vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny played?
- Cherepovets vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Metallurg, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.