Tver vs Yenisey II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 21Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Junost', Tver'
The Footlab model makes Tver the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Yenisey II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tver vs Yenisey II?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Tver (1,581) and Yenisey II (1,496).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tver have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Yenisey II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(away) | 0-4 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Dinamo Vologda(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cherepovets(home) | 5-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Murom(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 1-4 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tver win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Yenisey II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Yenisey II 1-1 Tver | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Yenisey II 2-2 Tver | Second League - Group 2 |
| May 25, 2025 | Tver 4-0 Yenisey II | Second League - Group 2 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Tver 1-0 Yenisey II | Second League - Group 2 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Yenisey II 1-2 Tver | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Yenisey II 1-1 Tver | Second League - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tver score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Yenisey II score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tver | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Yenisey II | 1.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tver sit 11th in Second League - Group 2 (10 points from 12 matches) and Yenisey II sit 12th (10 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tver | 19 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 22 |
| 11 | Tver | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 10 |
| 12 | Yenisey II | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 10 |
| 12 | Yenisey II | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 37 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tver vs Yenisey II?
- The Footlab model makes Tver the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Yenisey II.
- Where and when is Tver vs Yenisey II played?
- Tver vs Yenisey II is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Junost', in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.