Iskra vs Grbalj: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Braća Velašević, Danilovgrad
The Footlab model makes Iskra the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Grbalj. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iskra vs Grbalj?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Iskra (1,364) and Grbalj (1,346).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iskra have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Grbalj have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Berane(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rudar(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Internacional Podgorica(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lovćen(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Jezero(home) | 1-5 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mogren(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zeta(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Bokelj(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| May 29, 2026 | Bokelj(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Internacional Podgorica(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Iskra win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Grbalj win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Grbalj 2-2 Iskra | Second League |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Iskra 5-1 Grbalj | Second League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Grbalj 3-1 Iskra | Second League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Iskra 1-1 Grbalj | Second League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Grbalj 1-1 Iskra | Second League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Iskra 1-1 Grbalj | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Iskra score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Grbalj score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iskra | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Grbalj | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iskra sit 6th in Second League (3 points from 2 matches) and Grbalj sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grbalj | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Iskra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iskra vs Grbalj?
- The Footlab model makes Iskra the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Grbalj.
- Where and when is Iskra vs Grbalj played?
- Iskra vs Grbalj is played on September 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Braća Velašević, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.