Istiqlol vs Barki Tajik: result 2-1 and analysis
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on September 24, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
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What was the result of Istiqlol vs Barki Tajik?
Istiqlol won 2-1 on September 24, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 47′543087Barki Tajik
- 55′R. SoirovIstiqlol
- 73′A. DzhalilovIstiqlol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Barki Tajik have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-5 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 11, 2025 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 3-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Panjsher(home) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Istaravshan(home) | 6-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Regar-TadAZ(away) | 2-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2025 | FK Hulbuk(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 19, 2025 | CSKA Pomir(home) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Panjsher(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Khosilot Farkhor(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Regar-TadAZ(away) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Istiqlol win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Barki Tajik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2025 | Barki Tajik 0-1 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Barki Tajik 1-5 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Istiqlol 9-1 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Barki Tajik 0-2 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 5, 2018 | Barki Tajik 0-1 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 6, 2018 | Istiqlol 2-1 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Barki Tajik vs Istiqlol on Apr 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Barki Tajik score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Barki Tajik | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istiqlol sit 3rd in Vysshaya Liga (28 points from 13 matches) and Barki Tajik sit 6th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Istiqlol | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Barki Tajik | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 18 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy