Parvoz vs Barki Tajik: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Furudgokh, Ghafurov
The Footlab AI model makes Barki Tajik the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Parvoz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barki Tajik wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parvoz vs Barki Tajik?
Barki Tajik starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,375 vs 1,191).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Parvoz vs Barki Tajik
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Parvoz
Not enough data to predict the Parvoz lineup.
Barki Tajik
Not enough data to predict the Barki Tajik lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parvoz have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Barki Tajik have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Khatlon(away) | 1-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Khujand(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(away) | 0-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Ravshan(away) | 3-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Istiqlol(home) | 0-4 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(away) | 0-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sardor Tursunzoda(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Istaravshan(away) | 4-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eskhata(away) | 2-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ravshan(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Parvoz win, 0 draws, 5 Barki Tajik wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Barki Tajik 2-0 Parvoz | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 2, 2016 | Barki Tajik 3-0 Parvoz | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 14, 2016 | Parvoz 1-2 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 23, 2015 | Parvoz 1-2 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 2, 2015 | Barki Tajik 1-0 Parvoz | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 12, 2014 | Parvoz 3-0 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Barki Tajik vs Parvoz on Jun 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Parvoz score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Barki Tajik score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parvoz | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Barki Tajik | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parvoz sit 10th in Vysshaya Liga (15 points from 19 matches) and Barki Tajik sit 6th (24 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Barki Tajik | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 25 | 24 |
| 10 | Parvoz | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 15 |
A question about Parvoz vs Barki Tajik?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parvoz vs Barki Tajik?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barki Tajik the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Parvoz.
- Where and when is Parvoz vs Barki Tajik played?
- Parvoz vs Barki Tajik is played on October 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Furudgokh, in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.