Istiqlol vs Khosilot Farkhor: result 3-1 and analysis
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on May 4, 2024 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
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What was the result of Istiqlol vs Khosilot Farkhor?
Istiqlol won 3-1 on May 4, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 5′?Istiqlol
- 59′?Khosilot Farkhor
- 65′?Istiqlol
- 68′?Istiqlol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istiqlol have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Khosilot Farkhor have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Khujand(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Kuktosh(home) | 6-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Khatlon(home) | 3-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Istaravshan(home) | 3-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Fayzkand(away) | 4-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2024 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Eskhata(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Khujand(away) | 3-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Kuktosh(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Khatlon(away) | 3-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Istiqlol win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Khosilot Farkhor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2023 | Istiqlol 5-0 Khosilot Farkhor | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 14, 2023 | Khosilot Farkhor 0-1 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 27, 2017 | Khosilot Farkhor 1-3 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 12, 2017 | Khosilot Farkhor 0-0 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 11, 2017 | Istiqlol 8-2 Khosilot Farkhor | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 7, 2016 | Istiqlol 2-1 Khosilot Farkhor | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Istiqlol vs Khosilot Farkhor on May 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Istiqlol score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Khosilot Farkhor score 1.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istiqlol | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Khosilot Farkhor | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istiqlol sit 3rd in Vysshaya Liga (28 points from 13 matches) and Khosilot Farkhor sit 2nd (28 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Khosilot Farkhor | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | Istiqlol | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy