Khosilot Farkhor vs Khatlon: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Farkhar, Parkhar
The Footlab model makes Khosilot Farkhor the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Khatlon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Khosilot Farkhor vs Khatlon?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Khosilot Farkhor (1,434) and Khatlon (1,457).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khosilot Farkhor have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Khatlon have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sardor Tursunzoda(away) | 3-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Istaravshan(home) | 5-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 26, 2026 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 3-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Eskhata(away) | 6-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Barki Tajik(home) | 2-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eskhata(home) | 4-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Barki Tajik(away) | 2-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ravshan(home) | 0-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Khujand(away) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Khosilot Farkhor win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Khatlon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Khatlon 2-2 Khosilot Farkhor | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Khatlon 1-0 Khosilot Farkhor | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Khosilot Farkhor 1-1 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Khosilot Farkhor 1-2 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Khatlon 4-2 Khosilot Farkhor | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Khatlon 1-3 Khosilot Farkhor | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Khatlon vs Khosilot Farkhor on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Khosilot Farkhor score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Khatlon score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khosilot Farkhor | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Khatlon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khosilot Farkhor sit 2nd in Vysshaya Liga (28 points from 14 matches) and Khatlon sit 8th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Khosilot Farkhor | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 28 |
| 8 | Khatlon | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Khosilot Farkhor vs Khatlon?
- The Footlab model makes Khosilot Farkhor the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Khatlon.
- Where and when is Khosilot Farkhor vs Khatlon played?
- Khosilot Farkhor vs Khatlon is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Farkhar, in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.