Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek: prediction and stats
HNLMatchday 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula
The Footlab AI model makes Istra 1961 the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for NK Osijek. The most likely score is 1-1. If Istra 1961 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,413 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek?
On Elo ratings, Istra 1961 has 1,980 points and NK Osijek 1,914.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Istra 1961
4-2-3-1- 94H. Jaganjac
- 25G. AlbarracÃn
- 22E. Frederiksen
- 20D. Ahmeti
- 5D. Hodzic
- 30N. Skafar Zuzic
- 44R. Hrvatin
- 13Niko Šepić
- 3M. Nasraoui
- 4R. Kumar
- 1F. Kolić
NK Osijek
4-2-3-1- 79A. León
- 11Luka Tunjic
- 21Cantero
- 16O. Petrusenko
- 18Niko Farkaš
- 39D. Bukvić
- 22J. Kruiver
- 26L. Jelenić
- 49Ivano Kolarik
- 47D. Kalem
- 31M. Malenica
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istra 1961 have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; NK Osijek have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Neretva Metković(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Oct 26, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 2-2 | HNL |
| Oct 17, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 0-1 | HNL |
| Nov 1, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 0-1 | HNL |
| Oct 17, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 1-1 | HNL |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Istra 1961(home) | 1-3 | HNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Istra 1961 wins, 1 draw, 1 NK Osijek win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | NK Osijek 1-3 Istra 1961 | HNL |
| May 10, 2026 | NK Osijek 0-1 Istra 1961 | HNL |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Istra 1961 0-1 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Dec 7, 2025 | NK Osijek 1-5 Istra 1961 | HNL |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Istra 1961 2-1 NK Osijek | HNL |
| May 25, 2025 | NK Osijek 1-1 Istra 1961 | HNL |
Last archived meeting: NK Osijek vs Istra 1961 on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Istra 1961 score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; NK Osijek score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istra 1961 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| NK Osijek | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istra 1961 sit 4th in HNL (19 points from 13 matches) and NK Osijek sit 3rd (20 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | NK Osijek | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 20 |
| 4 | Istra 1961 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 19 |
A question about Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek?
- The Footlab AI model makes Istra 1961 the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for NK Osijek.
- Where and when is Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek played?
- Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Aldo Drosina, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.