Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula
The Footlab model makes Istra 1961 the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Istra 1961 (1,881) and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (1,890).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istra 1961 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(away) | 2-3 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(home) | 3-0 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 2-2 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 2-3 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 0-1 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 3-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Istra 1961 win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Istra 1961 2-3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| Apr 11, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 Istra 1961 | HNL |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Istra 1961 1-1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| Oct 25, 2025 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 Istra 1961 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Istra 1961 2-2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| May 3, 2025 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0 Istra 1961 | HNL |
Last archived meeting: Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Istra 1961 score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istra 1961 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istra 1961 sit 7th in HNL (4 points from 4 matches) and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 6th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
- The Footlab model makes Istra 1961 the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
- Where and when is Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb played?
- Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Aldo Drosina, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.