HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ŠRC Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica
The Footlab model makes NK Osijek the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for HNK Gorica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate HNK Gorica (1,816) and NK Osijek (1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HNK Gorica have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; NK Osijek have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 1-2 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 1-3 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | NK Osijek(home) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 0-4 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 6-1 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HNK Gorica(away) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 HNK Gorica win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 NK Osijek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | HNK Gorica 0-2 NK Osijek | HNL |
| May 16, 2026 | HNK Gorica 2-0 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Mar 14, 2026 | NK Osijek 0-0 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| Dec 13, 2025 | NK Osijek 1-1 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| Sep 28, 2025 | HNK Gorica 0-1 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Apr 19, 2025 | NK Osijek 0-1 HNK Gorica | HNL |
Last archived meeting: HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
HNK Gorica score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; NK Osijek score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| NK Osijek | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HNK Gorica sit 10th in HNL (0 points from 4 matches) and NK Osijek sit 2nd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NK Osijek | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
- The Footlab model makes NK Osijek the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for HNK Gorica.
- Where and when is HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek played?
- HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ŠRC Velika Gorica, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.