Istres vs Toulon: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 24Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Parsemain, Fos-sur-Mer
The Footlab AI model makes Istres the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Toulon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Istres wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,603 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Istres vs Toulon?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Istres (1,781) and Toulon (1,815).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Istres vs Toulon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Istres
Not enough data to predict the Istres lineup.
Toulon
Not enough data to predict the Toulon lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istres have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Toulon have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Chateauroux(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Limonest(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | UF Touraine(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Hyères(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Troyes II(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lyon Duchere(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Istres wins, 1 draw, 1 Toulon win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Toulon 2-2 Istres | National 2 - Group C |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Istres 4-0 Toulon | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Toulon 3-1 Istres | National 2 - Group A |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Istres 3-1 Toulon | National 2 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Istres score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Toulon score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istres | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Toulon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istres sit 14th in National 2 - Group C (4 points from 6 matches) and Toulon sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Toulon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 14 | Istres | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Istres vs Toulon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Istres vs Toulon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Istres the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Toulon.
- Where and when is Istres vs Toulon played?
- Istres vs Toulon is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Parsemain, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.