Italy vs Albania: result 2-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipGroup B - 1Kick-off on June 15, 2024 at 07:00 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Albania?
Italy won 2-1 on June 15, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 1′N. BajramiAlbania
- 11′A. BastoniItaly
- 16′N. BarellaItaly
Official lineup for Italy vs Albania
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Italy
4-3-3- 10L. Pellegrini
- 9G. Scamacca
- 14F. Chiesa
- 18N. Barella
- 8Jorginho
- 7D. Frattesi
- 3F. Dimarco
- 5R. Calafiori
- 23A. Bastoni
- 2G. Di Lorenzo
- 1G. Donnarumma
Albania
4-2-3-1- 11A. Broja
- 15T. Seferi
- 10N. Bajrami
- 9J. Asani
- 21K. Asllani
- 20Y. Ramadani
- 3M. Mitaj
- 6B. Djimsiti
- 5A. Ajeti
- 4E. Hysaj
- 23T. Strakosha
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Albania have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2024 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 4, 2024 | Türkiye(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Ecuador(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Venezuela(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 20, 2023 | Ukraine(away) | 0-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2024 | Azerbaijan(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2024 | Liechtenstein(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2024 | Sweden(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Chile(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 20, 2023 | Faroe Islands(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Italy wins, 0 draws, 0 Albania wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2022 | Albania 1-3 Italy | Friendlies |
| Oct 9, 2017 | Albania 0-1 Italy | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2017 | Italy 2-0 Albania | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Albania score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Albania | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy sit 2nd in Euro Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Albania sit 4th (1 point from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Albania | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
A question about Italy vs Albania?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy